SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 14.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
66.15% ( 0.4) | 19.47% ( -0.01) | 14.39% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.69% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.09% ( -0.84) | 41.91% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.68% ( -0.85) | 64.31% ( 0.85) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.19% ( -0.14) | 11.81% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.95% ( -0.29) | 37.05% ( 0.29) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.62% ( -1.08) | 41.38% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.1% ( -0.97) | 77.89% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.34)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.64% Total : 66.14% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.47% | 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.39% |
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