Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 2-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
Result | ||
Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Larne |
20.11% ( 0.44) | 20.94% ( 0.04) | 58.96% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 58.87% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.65% ( 0.44) | 38.35% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.37% ( 0.47) | 60.63% ( -0.46) |
Dungannon Swifts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.46% ( 0.69) | 32.54% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.93% ( 0.76) | 69.07% ( -0.76) |
Larne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.26% ( 0.01) | 12.74% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61% ( 0.01) | 39% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Larne |
2-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 20.11% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.04% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.81% Total : 58.96% |
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