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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 26
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stangmore Park
L

Dungannon
0 - 2
Larne


Moore (62'), Devine (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Millar (42'), Scott (45+1' og.)
Gallagher (27')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 2-4 Dungannon
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-2 Larne
Friday, January 12 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 2-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawLarne
20.11% (0.437 0.44) 20.94% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 58.96% (-0.475 -0.48)
Both teams to score 58.87% (0.598 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.65% (0.444 0.44)38.35% (-0.437 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.37% (0.469 0.47)60.63% (-0.461 -0.46)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (0.685 0.69)32.54% (-0.678 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (0.764 0.76)69.07% (-0.756 -0.76)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)12.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 20.11%
    Larne 58.96%
    Draw 20.94%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawLarne
2-1 @ 5.38% (0.088 0.09)
1-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.61% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.02% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 0.98% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 20.11%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.94%
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.8% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-1 @ 8.54% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-3 @ 6.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.04% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.063 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.11% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.96% (0.033 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 58.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ballymena 2-4 Dungannon
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 5-0 Newry City AFC
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 2-1 Dungannon
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 1-2 Glentoran
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 2-3 Dungannon
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 4-3 Dungannon
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-2 Larne
Friday, January 12 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 1-1 Linfield
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-2 Larne
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 1-0 Loughgall
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-3 Larne
Friday, December 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 4-1 Glenavon
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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