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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
RM

Las Palmas
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Munoz (53')
Rodriguez (55'), Munoz (82'), Perrone (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Junior (65'), Tchouameni (84')
Rodrygo (5'), Tchouameni (90+9'), Mendy (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Las Palmas 1-2 Real Madrid

Las Palmas are a team to be taken extremely seriously in La Liga, and they are more than capable of picking up a positive result on Saturday. We are expecting a close match in terms of the scoreline, but Real Madrid have enough quality to put an important three points on the board at Estadio Gran Canaria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 2-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Las PalmasDrawReal Madrid
17.34% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 20.61% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 62.06% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.74% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)41.32% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.71% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)37.24% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)74.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.22% (0.0040000000000049 0)12.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Las Palmas 17.34%
    Real Madrid 62.06%
    Draw 20.61%
Las PalmasDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 4.7%
2-0 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 17.34%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.61%
0-2 @ 10.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 6.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 62.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-2 Las Palmas
Saturday, January 20 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 3-0 Villarreal
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Tenerife 2-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, January 7 at 9pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-2 Barcelona
Thursday, January 4 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Las Palmas
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, December 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Almeria
Sunday, January 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Barcelona
Sunday, January 14 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Atletico
Wednesday, January 10 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Arandina 1-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, January 6 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Mallorca
Wednesday, January 3 at 6.15pm in La Liga


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