Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 82.52%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 6.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 3-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.52%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Almeria |
82.52% (![]() | 10.75% (![]() | 6.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.77% (![]() | 21.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
60.18% (![]() | 39.82% (![]() |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.23% (![]() | 3.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.87% (![]() | 16.12% (![]() |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.6% (![]() | 40.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.98% (![]() | 77.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Almeria |
3-0 @ 8.94% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.1% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.33% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.75% Total : 82.52% | 1-1 @ 4.52% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 10.75% | 1-2 @ 2.05% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 6.73% |
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