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Supercopa de Espana | Final
Jan 14, 2024 at 7pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium
BL

Real Madrid
4 - 1
Barcelona

Junior (7', 10', 39' pen.), Rodrygo (64')
Bellingham (43'), Rudiger (62')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Lewandowski (33')
Araujo (37'), Roberto (39')
Araujo (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Atletico
Wednesday, January 10 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Osasuna
Thursday, January 11 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
45.63%24.13%30.24%
Both teams to score 58.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53%43.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.13%65.87%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77%19.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.07%50.93%
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75%27.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32%62.68%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 45.63%
    Barcelona 30.24%
    Draw 24.13%
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 9.26%
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 45.63%
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-1 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 4.43%
1-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Atletico
Wednesday, January 10 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Arandina 1-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, January 6 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Mallorca
Wednesday, January 3 at 6.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, December 21 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Villarreal
Sunday, December 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Osasuna
Thursday, January 11 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana
Last Game: Barbastro 2-3 Barcelona
Sunday, January 7 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-2 Barcelona
Thursday, January 4 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-3 America
Friday, December 22 at 2am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barcelona 3-2 Almeria
Wednesday, December 20 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Barcelona
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in La Liga


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