SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | St Gallen |
34.46% ( -0.22) | 24.31% ( 0.07) | 41.22% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.87% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.24% ( -0.39) | 42.75% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.84% ( -0.38) | 65.16% ( 0.38) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( -0.31) | 24.33% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% ( -0.43) | 58.72% ( 0.43) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( -0.1) | 20.86% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.43% ( -0.15) | 53.56% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.46% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 41.22% |
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