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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Celtic |
31.34% ( 0.23) | 23.78% ( -0.02) | 44.87% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 60.63% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.72% ( 0.22) | 41.28% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.32% ( 0.22) | 63.67% ( -0.23) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( 0.25) | 25.46% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.7% ( 0.34) | 60.29% ( -0.35) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% | 18.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.01% ( 0) | 49.98% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.34% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 44.87% |
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