SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
40.59% ( 0.34) | 25.76% ( 0.2) | 33.65% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 54.64% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% ( -0.99) | 49.47% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.49% ( -0.9) | 71.51% ( 0.9) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( -0.27) | 24.1% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.6% ( -0.39) | 58.39% ( 0.39) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( -0.81) | 28.01% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.34% ( -1.04) | 63.66% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.65% |
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