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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
HL

Leeds
2 - 0
Hull City

Fernandez (63'), Piroe (81')
Rodon (29'), Gruev (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Millar (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Leeds
Friday, August 23 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Hull City

While Hull City have shown their defensive solidity so far this term, conceding just two goals in their first three league outings, they face their toughest test thus far on Saturday and may struggle to match a rejuvenated Leeds United side at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 53.58%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawHull City
53.58% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 22.57% (0.023 0.02) 23.86% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.76% (-0.055 -0.05)41.24% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.37% (-0.058 -0.06)63.63% (0.058 0.06)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.6% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)15.4% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.8% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)44.21% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (0.013999999999996 0.01)30.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (0.017000000000003 0.02)67.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 53.58%
    Hull City 23.86%
    Draw 22.56%
Leeds UnitedDrawHull City
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 53.58%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.59% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 23.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Leeds
Friday, August 23 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-3 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, August 14 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leeds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Harrogate 0-3 Leeds
Friday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, August 14 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Fiorentina
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3


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