SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
49.89% ( -0.47) | 23.85% ( 0.53) | 26.26% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( -1.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.21% ( -2.45) | 44.78% ( 2.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.85% ( -2.4) | 67.14% ( 2.4) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.97% ( -1.1) | 18.03% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.08% ( -1.92) | 48.91% ( 1.91) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% ( -1.34) | 30.77% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% ( -1.61) | 67.03% ( 1.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.65)2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.56)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.26% |
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