SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 54.68%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 23.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Bournemouth |
54.68% ( -0.02) | 21.38% ( -0) | 23.94% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.95% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.51% ( 0.01) | 35.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.46% ( 0.01) | 57.53% ( -0.02) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.92% ( -0) | 13.07% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.33% ( -0) | 39.66% ( -0) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( 0.02) | 27.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.88% ( 0.03) | 63.11% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.32% 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 54.68% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.38% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 3.67% Total : 23.94% |
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