SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 46.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liberia | Draw | Togo |
26.42% ( 0.18) | 26.84% ( 0.43) | 46.74% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.26% ( -1.46) | 56.74% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.31% ( -1.19) | 77.69% ( 1.19) |
| Liberia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.95% ( -0.65) | 37.04% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.17% ( -0.65) | 73.83% ( 0.65) |
| Togo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( -0.92) | 24.27% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.36% ( -1.33) | 58.64% ( 1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liberia | Draw | Togo |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 26.43% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.74% |
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