SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.87%).
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Aston Villa |
62.16% ( 1.39) | 20.15% ( -0.54) | 17.69% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 57.12% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.46% ( 1.06) | 38.54% ( -1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.16% ( 1.11) | 60.83% ( -1.12) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.1% ( 0.72) | 11.9% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.77% ( 1.51) | 37.23% ( -1.51) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( -0.3) | 35.16% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% ( -0.32) | 71.91% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.13)Other @ 4.04% Total : 62.16% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.67% Total : 17.69% |
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