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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Mar 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Belvedere

Liverpool
1 - 2
Maldonado

Machado (11')
Rodriguez Elduayen (68')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Toledo (31'), Larrazabal (44')
Cantera (20'), Larrazabal (52'), Petryk (62'), Alfaro (86'), Rodriguez (87'), Tealde (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Liverpool and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Nacional
Sunday, February 25 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Maldonado
Friday, February 23 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawDeportivo Maldonado
48.67% (-0.86 -0.86) 26.14% (0.402 0.4) 25.19% (0.46 0.46)
Both teams to score 48.63% (-0.735 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (-1.173 -1.17)54.99% (1.175 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.73% (-0.977 -0.98)76.27% (0.979 0.98)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (-0.869 -0.87)22.63% (0.871 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (-1.31 -1.31)56.25% (1.312 1.31)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.85% (-0.24 -0.24)37.16% (0.242 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06% (-0.24 -0.24)73.94% (0.242 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 48.67%
    Deportivo Maldonado 25.19%
    Draw 26.13%
LiverpoolDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 9.28% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 48.67%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.376 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.132 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 25.19%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Nacional
Sunday, February 25 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-2 Liverpool
Sunday, February 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Liverpool
Saturday, December 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Penarol
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Penarol
Saturday, December 9 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 River Plate
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Maldonado
Friday, February 23 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 1-2 Boston River
Sunday, February 18 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-0 Maldonado
Wednesday, December 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-2 Liverpool
Sunday, December 3 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 5-1 Maldonado
Wednesday, November 29 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 2-1 Defensor
Saturday, November 25 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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