SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nacional | 21 | 30 | 44 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 21 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Boston River | 21 | 9 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Boston River | 21 | 9 | 40 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 21 | 4 | 33 |
| 5 | Defensor Sporting | 21 | 1 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
50.24% ( -0.61) | 26.67% ( 0.41) | 23.08% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 45.14% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.51% ( -1.25) | 58.49% ( 1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.93% ( -0.99) | 79.07% ( 0.99) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( -0.81) | 23.41% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.6% ( -1.19) | 57.4% ( 1.19) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.93% ( -0.52) | 41.06% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.39% ( -0.46) | 77.61% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.55% Total : 50.23% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.23% Total : 23.08% |
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