SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Boston River |
37.81% ( 0.73) | 27.88% ( -0.13) | 34.31% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.11% ( 0.42) | 57.89% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.4% ( 0.33) | 78.6% ( -0.33) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( 0.65) | 29.57% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% ( 0.78) | 65.6% ( -0.78) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( -0.18) | 31.77% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.81% ( -0.2) | 68.2% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.8% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.31% |
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