SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
39.62% ( 0.25) | 27.35% ( -0.13) | 33.04% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.44% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% ( 0.47) | 56.05% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( 0.38) | 77.13% ( -0.38) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( 0.36) | 27.64% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.83% ( 0.47) | 63.18% ( -0.46) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( 0.15) | 31.69% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.9% ( 0.18) | 68.1% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.03% |
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