Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Liverpool |
29.3% ( 0.46) | 28.58% ( -0.38) | 42.11% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 44.64% ( 1.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.54% ( 1.4) | 61.45% ( -1.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.67% ( 1.02) | 81.33% ( -1.02) |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.73% ( 1.14) | 37.27% ( -1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.94% ( 1.11) | 74.06% ( -1.11) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.16% ( 0.64) | 28.83% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.31% ( 0.79) | 64.69% ( -0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Liverpool |
1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.76% Total : 29.3% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.58) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 13.36% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.59% Total : 42.11% |
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