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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
L(

Maldonado
0 - 2
Liverpool


Rodriguez (31'), Alfaro (62'), Cotugno (72'), Cayetano (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ocampo (77'), Rodriguez (86')
Britos (90+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torque 5-1 Maldonado
Wednesday, November 29 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Boston River
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawLiverpool
29.3% (0.464 0.46) 28.58% (-0.38 -0.38) 42.11% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Both teams to score 44.64% (1.205 1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.54% (1.395 1.4)61.45% (-1.393 -1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.67% (1.024 1.02)81.33% (-1.022 -1.02)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (1.144 1.14)37.27% (-1.142 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94% (1.112 1.11)74.06% (-1.109 -1.11)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (0.63800000000001 0.64)28.83% (-0.635 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.786 0.79)64.69% (-0.783 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 29.3%
    Liverpool 42.11%
    Draw 28.57%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 6.51% (0.179 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.23% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.14% (0.122 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 29.3%
1-1 @ 13.19% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.74% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.18 0.18)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.57%
0-1 @ 13.36% (-0.47 -0.47)
0-2 @ 8.31% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.103 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 42.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Torque 5-1 Maldonado
Wednesday, November 29 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 2-1 Defensor
Saturday, November 25 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 1-0 La Luz
Sunday, November 19 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 3-0 Wanderers
Wednesday, November 15 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 1-0 Maldonado
Sunday, November 12 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 1-2 Danubio
Sunday, November 5 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Boston River
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 0-1 Liverpool
Friday, November 24 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-3 Racing
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-0 Liverpool
Tuesday, November 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Cerro Largo
Friday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, November 5 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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