SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-0 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Nacional |
25.1% ( -2.54) | 25.64% ( 0.1) | 49.26% ( 2.44) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( -2.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.84% ( -2.12) | 53.15% ( 2.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.27% ( -1.83) | 74.72% ( 1.83) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% ( -3.23) | 36.22% ( 3.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.99% ( -3.43) | 73.01% ( 3.43) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.4% ( 0.2) | 21.6% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.3% ( 0.3) | 54.7% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.55)2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.39)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.27)Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.1% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.63)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.39)Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 11.98% ( 1.03) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.84)1-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.46)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.32% Total : 49.25% |
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