SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Nacional |
28.78% ( -0.64) | 26.61% ( 0.33) | 44.61% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 49.89% ( -1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.35% ( -1.57) | 54.65% ( 1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.02% ( -1.32) | 75.98% ( 1.32) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( -1.31) | 34.02% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.3% ( -1.44) | 70.7% ( 1.44) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( -0.54) | 24.38% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.21% ( -0.77) | 58.79% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.3% Total : 28.78% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.6% |
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