SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Nacional |
35.81% ( -0.36) | 26.47% ( 0.08) | 37.71% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% ( -0.34) | 52.21% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% ( -0.29) | 73.92% ( 0.28) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( -0.38) | 28.02% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.33% ( -0.48) | 63.66% ( 0.47) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( -0) | 26.9% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.77% ( -0) | 62.23% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.81% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.71% |
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