Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 11.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.8%) and 0-3 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-0 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.13) 
