SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 82.93%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 6.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.67%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Burnley |
82.93% ( -0.04) | 10.71% ( 0.03) | 6.36% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.17% ( -0.08) | 22.83% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.97% ( -0.11) | 42.04% ( 0.11) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.01% ( -0.02) | 3.99% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.15% ( -0.07) | 16.85% ( 0.06) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.12% ( -0.03) | 42.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.81% ( -0.03) | 79.19% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Burnley |
| 3-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 8.07% ( 0)4-0 @ 7.68% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)7-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)6-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.05% Total : 82.93% | 1-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 10.71% | 1-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 6.36% |
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