Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 69.35%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for LASK Linz had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 3-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a LASK Linz win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | LASK Linz |
69.35% ( 0.01) | 16.69% ( -0) | 13.95% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.19% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.72% ( -0.01) | 29.27% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.69% ( -0.02) | 50.31% ( 0.01) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.34% ( -0.01) | 7.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.69% ( -0) | 27.31% ( -0) |
LASK Linz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.26% ( -0.02) | 33.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.6% ( -0.02) | 70.39% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | LASK Linz |
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.94% 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.1% 4-0 @ 4.7% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.62% 5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.12% 6-0 @ 1.03% 4-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 69.35% | 1-1 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 16.69% | 1-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 13.95% |
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