SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.85%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.82%) and 1-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Southampton |
52.85% ( -2.36) | 21.38% ( 0.78) | 25.76% ( 1.58) |
| Both teams to score 65.06% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.37% ( -2.22) | 33.62% ( 2.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.56% ( -2.57) | 55.43% ( 2.56) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87% ( -1.42) | 12.99% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.49% ( -2.98) | 39.5% ( 2.97) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( -0.08) | 25.22% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.03% ( -0.11) | 59.96% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.36)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.25)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.23)4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.16)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.37% Total : 52.85% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.37)3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.38% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.37) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.5)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.02% 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.46% Total : 25.76% |
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