SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
48.55% ( 0.72) | 25.52% ( -0.26) | 25.93% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.93% ( 0.7) | 52.07% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( 0.6) | 73.8% ( -0.6) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( 0.61) | 21.46% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.51% ( 0.93) | 54.49% ( -0.92) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.08% ( -0) | 34.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.34% ( -0.01) | 71.66% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.38% Total : 48.54% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.1% Total : 25.93% |
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