SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 80.73%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 7.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
80.73% ( 0.02) | 12% ( 0.03) | 7.27% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.87% ( -0.4) | 26.12% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.63% ( -0.52) | 46.37% ( 0.51) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.07% ( -0.08) | 4.92% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.25% ( -0.22) | 19.75% ( 0.22) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.68% ( -0.46) | 43.31% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.44% ( -0.38) | 79.55% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 3-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 4.4% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.73% Total : 80.73% | 1-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 12% | 1-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 7.27% |
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