SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | St Gallen |
34.06% ( -0.38) | 23.02% ( 0) | 42.92% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 64.57% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.43% ( -0.13) | 36.57% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.27% ( -0.15) | 58.72% ( 0.15) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% ( -0.26) | 21.66% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.2% ( -0.41) | 54.8% ( 0.41) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.43% ( 0.1) | 17.56% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.88% ( 0.17) | 48.11% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 34.06% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.03% Total : 42.92% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
