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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Oxford United |
50.56% ( 0.1) | 23.83% ( -0.04) | 25.61% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.72% ( 0.08) | 45.27% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.38% ( 0.08) | 67.61% ( -0.08) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( 0.07) | 17.96% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.2% ( 0.12) | 48.79% ( -0.12) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.45% ( -0.01) | 31.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.06% ( -0.02) | 67.94% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 50.56% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 25.61% |
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