SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Lugano |
35.6% ( -0.04) | 24.51% ( -0) | 39.89% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.41% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.53% ( -0) | 43.47% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.13% ( -0) | 65.87% ( 0) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( -0.02) | 24.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% ( -0.03) | 58.28% ( 0.03) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( 0.02) | 21.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.98% ( 0.03) | 55.02% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 35.6% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 39.89% |
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