SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.25%) and 0-1 (6.23%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
28.22% ( 1.77) | 21.61% ( -0.08) | 50.17% ( -1.69) |
| Both teams to score 66.56% ( 1.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.38% ( 1.87) | 32.61% ( -1.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.72% ( 2.14) | 54.28% ( -2.14) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( 2.14) | 23.08% ( -2.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.08% ( 3.04) | 56.91% ( -3.04) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.53% ( 0.13) | 13.47% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.53% ( 0.26) | 40.46% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.22% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.32)3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.58)0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.61)1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.36)1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.17)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.11)2-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.11% Total : 50.17% |
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