Given how poor their domestic campaign has gone, Valenciennes deserve much credit for their performance at the Coupe de France, though they have not faced many top-class sides to get here.
Lyon have been one of the hottest teams in the French top flight this year, and regardless of who plays on Tuesday, we believe even their reserves should be able to handle a side that seem destined to play in the third tier of French football next season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
-0.37) 
0.1) 
