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Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Oct 20, 2024 at 6am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
PG

Macarthur
6 - 1
Perth Glory

Drew (7'), Hollman (10'), Uskok (21'), Jakolis (30', 45+1'), Germain (61')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Bugarija (73')
Lebib (56')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sydney FC 4-0 Macarthur
Saturday, May 4 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Armadale 2-4 Perth Glory
Tuesday, July 16 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.3%) and 3-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawPerth Glory
51.47% (0.46700000000001 0.47) 19.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 28.7% (-0.496 -0.5)
Both teams to score 73.92% (-0.5 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.64% (-0.486 -0.49)23.35% (0.482 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.26% (-0.655 -0.66)42.73% (0.651 0.65)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.12% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)9.87% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.26% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)32.73% (0.113 0.11)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02% (-0.512 -0.51)17.97% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.17% (-0.881 -0.88)48.82% (0.878 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 51.47%
    Perth Glory 28.7%
    Draw 19.83%
MacarthurDrawPerth Glory
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.3% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 5.41% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 4.11% (0.128 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.65% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 3.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.052 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.79% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.01 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 51.47%
1-1 @ 7.05% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 7.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 3.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 1.78% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 19.83%
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.01% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.05% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.72% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.33% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 28.7%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sydney FC 4-0 Macarthur
Saturday, May 4 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 3-0 Macarthur
Saturday, April 27 at 8.15am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, April 20 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Macarthur
Friday, April 12 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 4-2 Macarthur
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-3 Western Sydney
Monday, April 1 at 5am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Armadale 2-4 Perth Glory
Tuesday, July 16 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Sydney FC 7-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 3-4 Western Utd
Sunday, April 21 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 8-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 14 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-4 Adelaide United
Sunday, April 7 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-1 Sydney FC
Wednesday, April 3 at 11.45am in Australian A-League


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