SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
54.72% ( -0.18) | 22.05% ( 0.19) | 23.23% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.57% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.47% ( -0.88) | 39.54% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.12% ( -0.92) | 61.88% ( 0.93) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( -0.35) | 14.43% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.64% ( -0.7) | 42.36% ( 0.71) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.61% ( -0.48) | 30.39% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.41% ( -0.58) | 66.59% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.72% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.23% |
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