SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eintracht Frankfurt in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 |
43.9% ( 0.13) | 25.05% ( -0) | 31.05% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.78% ( -0.03) | 47.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.55% ( -0.03) | 69.45% ( 0.03) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( 0.05) | 21.52% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.42% ( 0.07) | 54.58% ( -0.07) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( -0.1) | 28.58% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( -0.13) | 64.38% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 43.9% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.05% |
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