Both teams average below one goal per game, so it is set to be a close-fought encounter between two sides low on confidence. The pressure is on Mainz to finally produce in front of their own fans, while Union are showing signs of improvement and boast more depth in the final third.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
