With these two sides both likely to have their sights set on finishing second behind Oman in Group D, this could be a hugely competitive clash as they look to qualify for a World Cup for the first time in their histories.
Malaysia head into the match in better form and will have home advantage on their side, but Kyrgyzstan are ranked 40 places higher in FIFA's world rankings, so we expect them to be able to avoid defeat and build from there.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 14.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.
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