SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 35.29%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (12.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
35.09% ( 0.14) | 29.62% ( 0.18) | 35.29% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 43.16% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.11% ( -0.6) | 63.89% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.89% ( -0.43) | 83.11% ( 0.44) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.63% ( -0.22) | 34.37% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.92% ( -0.24) | 71.08% ( 0.25) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( -0.53) | 34.24% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.06% ( -0.58) | 70.94% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.3% Total : 35.08% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.61% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.28% |
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