Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
-0.35) 
0.02) 
