SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 54.23%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
54.23% ( -1.34) | 22.64% ( 0.55) | 23.13% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.67% ( -1.58) | 42.33% ( 1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.26% ( -1.6) | 64.74% ( 1.61) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.44% ( -0.99) | 15.56% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.49% ( -1.88) | 44.51% ( 1.88) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( -0.18) | 32.02% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% ( -0.2) | 68.48% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.71% Total : 54.23% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.37)0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.58% Total : 23.13% |
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