SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 5 | 14 | 13 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 5 | Malta | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 5 | 14 | 13 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 5 | Malta | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Malta had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for North Macedonia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for North Macedonia.
| Result | ||
| Malta | Draw | North Macedonia |
21.63% ( -0.04) | 23.99% ( 0.11) | 54.38% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% ( -0.49) | 49.84% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% ( -0.44) | 71.84% ( 0.44) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.4% ( -0.31) | 37.6% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.62% ( -0.31) | 74.38% ( 0.31) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( -0.2) | 18.23% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.74% ( -0.35) | 49.25% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malta | Draw | North Macedonia |
| 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.63% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.34% Total : 54.37% |
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