SM
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 10 | 6 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Iceland | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Luxembourg | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 2 | -11 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Ukraine | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 5 | Malta | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malta in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luxembourg | Draw | Malta |
28.44% ( 0.01) | 25.26% ( -0) | 46.29% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( 0.01) | 49.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( 0.01) | 71.46% ( -0.01) |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( 0.01) | 31.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.06% ( 0.01) | 67.93% ( -0.02) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( -0) | 21.36% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.67% ( -0) | 54.33% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luxembourg | Draw | Malta |
| 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.44% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.28% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
