Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 87.34%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 3.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.2%) and 0-4 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.38%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
Malta	Draw	England
3.32% ( -0.06)	9.34% ( -0.02)	87.34% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 34.72% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.63% (

-0.29)

33.37% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.86% (

-0.33)

55.14% (

0.33)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.59% (

-0.52)

63.41% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.7% (

-0.24)

92.3% (

0.24)

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.9% (

-0.03)

5.1% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.73% (

-0.11)

20.27% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Malta 3.32%

England 87.32%

Draw 9.35%

Malta	Draw	England
1-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) 2-1 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 3.32%	1-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 9.35%	0-2 @ 14.31% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 14.2% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 10.57% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 6.29% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 0-6 @ 3.12% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 1-6 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 0-7 @ 1.33% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 87.32%