SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 66.17%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
66.17% ( -0.37) | 18.34% ( 0.16) | 15.5% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.81% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.94% ( -0.33) | 34.06% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.07% ( -0.38) | 55.93% ( 0.38) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.41% ( -0.17) | 9.59% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.92% ( -0.41) | 32.08% ( 0.42) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.06% ( 0.05) | 34.95% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.31% ( 0.05) | 71.69% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.54% Total : 66.17% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.34% | 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 15.5% |
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