SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
63.38% ( -0.39) | 19.79% ( 0.12) | 16.82% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.54% ( -0.08) | 38.46% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.25% ( -0.09) | 60.75% ( 0.08) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.45% ( -0.13) | 11.54% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.53% ( -0.27) | 36.47% ( 0.27) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.89% ( 0.26) | 36.11% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.11% ( 0.26) | 72.89% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.17% Total : 63.38% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.79% | 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 16.82% |
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