While the visitors do come into this match as the favourites, their away form has been average at best, and they have struggled to put games to bed at times, as they showed against bottom club Dalian Pro a few weeks ago. The hosts have found some form of late and could prove to be a tough opponent here; therefore, we expect them to take a point from this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.09) 
