SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
26.04% ( 0.77) | 25.19% ( 0.36) | 48.77% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.22% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.34% ( -0.88) | 50.66% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.43% ( -0.78) | 72.56% ( 0.78) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.93% ( 0.17) | 34.07% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.25% ( 0.19) | 70.75% ( -0.18) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( -0.83) | 20.79% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.55% ( -1.32) | 53.45% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.25% Total : 26.04% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.57% Total : 48.76% |
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