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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
50.03% ( 2.63) | 21.05% ( -0.18) | 28.91% ( -2.45) |
| Both teams to score 69.28% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.68% ( -0.63) | 29.32% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.63% ( -0.77) | 50.37% ( 0.77) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.66% ( 0.57) | 12.34% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.84% ( 1.18) | 38.16% ( -1.18) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( -1.65) | 20.97% ( 1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.27% ( -2.65) | 53.73% ( 2.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.44)1-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.38)4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.24)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.12)4-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.03% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.21)3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.91% |
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