SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Venezuela | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Mexico | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Ecuador |
40.71% ( 0.11) | 27.3% ( -0.15) | 31.99% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.28% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.89% ( 0.56) | 56.11% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% ( 0.45) | 77.18% ( -0.46) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( 0.32) | 27.06% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( 0.42) | 62.43% ( -0.43) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( 0.31) | 32.43% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.05% ( 0.35) | 68.95% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Ecuador |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.99% |
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