We expect Mexico to have too much quality for Guatemala, who have failed to score in each of the last five meetings between these two teams.
Cocca will expect his players to build momentum ahead of important fixtures in the Nations League and Gold Cup.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 9.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.48%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mexico in this match.
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